Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
146 Weber St. 100.0%   15   23 - 8 15 - 3 23 - 8 15 - 3 +1.0      -0.8 191 +1.8 121 67.0 255 +2.6 131 +2.5 1
153 Montana 0.0%   18 - 11 14 - 4 18 - 11 14 - 4 +0.8      +0.7 155 0.0 178 64.8 298 -0.2 168 +0.4 2
200 North Dakota 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 -2.4      -3.4 259 +1.0 147 76.8 54 -4.7 234 -4.1 5
205 Eastern Washington 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 -2.9      +4.1 79 -7.0 334 72.1 125 -5.0 240 -5.6 6
217 Idaho 0.0%   19 - 12 12 - 6 19 - 12 12 - 6 -3.4      -3.7 275 +0.3 168 65.1 296 -1.2 180 -2.5 3
252 Montana St. 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 13 - 17 9 - 9 -5.5      +0.7 156 -6.2 321 70.9 150 -5.8 248 -6.8 8
259 Portland St. 0.0%   11 - 18 8 - 10 11 - 18 8 - 10 -6.1      -1.8 211 -4.3 291 78.1 31 -7.6 282 -6.3 7
276 Idaho St. 0.0%   14 - 15 11 - 7 14 - 15 11 - 7 -7.4      -4.3 286 -3.0 258 73.9 89 -5.5 246 -3.5 4
278 Sacramento St. 0.0%   12 - 17 6 - 12 12 - 17 6 - 12 -7.5      -5.1 298 -2.5 237 71.4 138 -6.1 257 -9.2 10
310 Northern Colorado 0.0%   8 - 21 7 - 11 8 - 21 7 - 11 -10.0      -2.1 217 -7.9 340 72.8 102 -9.8 305 -7.4 9
342 Southern Utah 0.0%   4 - 24 3 - 15 4 - 24 3 - 15 -14.4      -4.8 292 -9.7 349 69.7 181 -15.4 344 -15.1 12
345 Northern Arizona 0.0%   3 - 25 3 - 15 3 - 25 3 - 15 -14.9      -8.0 332 -6.9 329 72.9 100 -16.2 347 -15.0 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Weber St. 1.0 100.0
Montana 2.0 100.0
North Dakota 5.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 5.0 100.0
Idaho 3.0 100.0
Montana St. 7.0 100.0
Portland St. 8.0 100.0
Idaho St. 4.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 10.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 9.0 100.0
Southern Utah 11.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Weber St. 15 - 3 100.0
Montana 14 - 4 100.0
North Dakota 10 - 8 100.0
Eastern Washington 10 - 8 100.0
Idaho 12 - 6 100.0
Montana St. 9 - 9 100.0
Portland St. 8 - 10 100.0
Idaho St. 11 - 7 100.0
Sacramento St. 6 - 12 100.0
Northern Colorado 7 - 11 100.0
Southern Utah 3 - 15 100.0
Northern Arizona 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Weber St. 100.0% 100.0
Montana
North Dakota
Eastern Washington
Idaho
Montana St.
Portland St.
Idaho St.
Sacramento St.
Northern Colorado
Southern Utah
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Weber St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 14.3 85.6 0.0
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Weber St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 4.8% 0.0 95.2 4.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0